Our draw bets went down this weekend, but we advised a correct treble on 3 homes.

The matches at Man City, Notts Forrest and Watford were chosen but all registered home wins.  We live to fight another day as our season profit is £1380 (at £10 per point bet).

We did however highlight Leeds at 1.83 to win at home against Northampton (see below) and we married this pick with the 2 bankers of Bury and Liverpool for a nice little 2/1 treble.

I think Lit Plan 153 is a great little plan.

It is a 13X entry and costs £1.60 on Littlewoods for 90 lines.  This is cheap for the guarantee of 8 if 8.

There is of course a lot of coverage loss, but the effect of this is minimised.  You are completely covered as long as no more than 2 of your score draws are consecutive.

I think that this is a reasonable assumption.  Looking at the results of this season’s UK pools my analysis shows that this was the case, for pure results on the card, 50% of the time.

This isn’t the same as looking at the shape of actual pools entries I know, but if score draws are consecutive on the results card and you hit them, then they would have to have been consecutive on your entry also.  An indirect method but still sound I think.

The big plusses for Lit Plan 153 are the 8 if 8 guarantee and the cost.

Looking at the UK football card for this weekend there is a larger ratio of odds on homes than usual.  However, most of the the odds are close to evens.

This presents opportunities and threats.

True banker odds for UK soccer matches are quotes of 1.40 or less.  Liverpool and Bury at home this weekend fall into that bracket.

I am looking very closely at Leeds to beat Northampton today at around 1.83.

A Leeds, Bury, Liverpool treble will pay 3.04 decimal.