The bet of the day came in again for turf365 with Raith Rovers winning convincingly at home to Greenock Morton.  

We advised 92 points on this one, at 1.90 at bet365.  I was really surprised at the odds on offer as Raith looked nailed on for the home win on form alone, never mind the added interest of the Morton keeper being out.  The odds had moved to 1.85 by mid-morning Saturday.

I always find it interesting to look at the split of results on odds of >=1.90 versus <1.90.  One would expect more chance of a clear home win as odds decrease.  This is indeed the case. 

But there is less value to be had down there and that’s where it pays to have some information coming in that can give you the edge.  For me it’s my contacts.

For you it can be turf365.

We also advised 3 draws with Barnet v Bradford C obliging at 3.40.

Overall, the net profit for the day was 83.60 points on a yield of 83.60%.  Running yield for this season is 73.50%.

Hamburg at home on Saturday evening was our nap of the day at 1.83. 

We advised 90 points on this one, which was 90% of the bet allocation this week.  The smaller bet tilted but the overall yield on turnover of 100 points was a healthy 64.7%. 

The use of a Euro selection was based on two things. 

Firstly, the opening form of Hamburg was impressive, winning 3 out of 4 going into this one. My system churned them out right at the top of all the British and Euro homes.

The other was the British card.  I just didn’t fancy a lot of the matches this weekend.  It looked a pretty mixed bag to me in terms of clear win potential, and that became clearer when my own model produced vastly different probabilities from the bookies’ odds.

Looking at the results, I’m glad I steered clear.  For example, of the 5 shortest priced home teams on the pools card, only 2 were home wins.  Celtic, Charlton and Palace all drew at home with home win odds of less than 1.75. 

Overall, there was a massive amount of draws on the British card. This looked likely to happen and in these circumstances it pays to cast the net a little wider.

Subscription rates have been slashed for the new season at turf365.com.  You can now get the full football forecasting service for as little as £10 per month.

The soccer results forecasting service comes with the cast iron guarantee of a full refund of your subscription should we not make you a profit over the 4 week cycle.

Try us, and let us make you money.

A number of people have reported that charges apply when you use a credit card to place entries on the footballpools.com site but not on other sites. 

I tried this and indeed there is a £2.50 charge for a £5.00 entry on the footballpools.com site but not on Brittens.  This is a 50% charge on the product price.

My bank said to me today that this is because footballpools.com have registered themselves as a gambling merchant but Brittens have not.  They also said that it is the resoponsibility of the merchant to warn online of the impending charge.

A cop out if ever I’ve heard one.

Anyway, check your bills and don’t use the credit card for pools entries on footballpools.com if you can help it.  Use a debit card instead.

This week’s football pools card has been published.  Just go to the blog and click “Latest pools cards”.  You can download this and use the spreadsheet to plan your entries.

My football selections for customers are split into 2 sections:

1. Match forecasts designed for fixed odds betting

 2. Score draw forecasts designed for your football pools entries

Customers find this very useful indeed, and an added value.  And remember, my subscriptions are halved this term!

In terms of this weekend, I’m considering Tottenham, Palace and Rotherham to oblige at home at decent prices. 

The deal with my fixed odds selections is that they must make you a profit over the month or I pay back your subscription in full within 24 hours.  This is a cast iron guarantee that you can’t get anywhere else.

For close matches that I think will end in draws, I have 6 in mind including Spurs v Man U. The object here is to beat the actual ratio of score draws on the card.

Please give us a try and subscribe to my great offer.

We are now taking orders for the new season although we can’t continue the free month offer any longer - we were swamped by masses of applicants!

But, as you know, every cloud has a silver lining.  I am slashing the subscription prices by 50% this season.  The pages will show this very soon.

Don’t worry existing customers, you will pay the same rate.

Why don’t you get on board at half price and benefit from the only fully guaranteed service on the internet.