We picked up a very nice 69.52% profit at the weekend on 5 matches correct out of 6 selections.

Notts Forest beating Reading was a nice way to start the sequence.  All of the variables pointed to a Forest victory, not least of which was their goal scoring prowess which sowed a 5 match home goal average of 3.0 and a home against average of just 0.6.  They are a form team indeed.  We made a nice profit of 72% on 20 points bet.

Next up on Saturday we had a tasty little treble.  Again, the three picks ticked most of the boxes in my model, and all of them obliged:

Huddersfield 2-1 Southend

Nigeria 1-0 Benin

Lille 3-1 PSG

I particularly fancied Lille at 1.91, and they duly romped home 3-1.  I had considered making this the main pick of the weekend, and I wish I had now!  Huddersfield’s 14 match unbeaten run and Southend’s measly 0.4 away goals average swung it for me.  Nigeria are 37 places above Benin in the Fifa rankings, and I was expecting a strong rebound after the Egypt game, but it took a Yakubu penalty to split the teams. 

Setting up the matches in a treble meant we had 15 points on at a cracking 4.21 decimal.              

On Sunday we had a live but frustrating Villa - West Ham match.  The Hammers packed the midfield for this one and every ball that went into the middle of the park dropped to them.  Villa had their chances but the game had 0-0 written all over it from the kick off.  Such is life and we dropped 20 points on this one.

There was some very good news to come though as Cameroon beat Zambia – just.  I made the mistake of watching this one too.  I can say categorically that this is the last match I will bet on from this tournament.  It was a shambles and could have gone either way.  3-2 was the final score and what a lovely headed goal it was from Idrissou to win it with a few minutes to go.  Although it wasn’t good for the health watching it I was happy that we picked up a nice 60% profit on 45 points bet.

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Turf365 customers raked in over 100% net profit on a weekend when most tipsters had nothing to say!

I was pleased that the Turf model stood up on a European card.  All the data is available for the Euro “elite” match ups and I am confident that the variables and weightings in the model are sound for any soccer match.  The unknown is the detailed team news but I did pick up some local gold dust from a knowledgeable friend. 

The home form of Roma was WWWWWW before this match, and they were up against a Chievo team blowing hot and cold.  A goal in the first minute was sweet but the sending off of Doni after 11 minutes had me sweating a bit.  We got there 1-0 in the end to land a nice 62% profit on 45 points bet.

Palermo are also in fantastic form showing a 6 match record of WWWDDW.  I thought that their full team would be too much for Atalanta.  It’s 1150 km from Bergamo to Palermo.  The away team must have got out of their hotel beds in Sicily on the wrong side as four yellows, a red and a 70^th minute penalty against snookered them.  1-0 was enough for us to get 73% profit on 45 points bet.

The icing on the cake was Napoli 1-0 Sampdoria to land us a dream treble at 4/1.  Again the form shouted out:  Napoli’s home WWWDDW compared very well to Samp’s dreadful away form of LLLLLD.  Sampdoria had 700 clicks to travel too.  We took 1.87 decimal on offer and landed a beauty.

What was left of the UK card had “red alert” written all over it.  Man U away to a solid Birmingham side was a non-starter as was Arsenal v Everton.  Cardiff were 1.72 to beat Blackpool.

Check the updated performance table on the website at: http://www.turf365.com/blog/category/fixed-odds-performance/.

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