Our draw bets went down this weekend, but we advised a correct treble on 3 homes.

The matches at Man City, Notts Forrest and Watford were chosen but all registered home wins.  We live to fight another day as our season profit is £1380 (at £10 per point bet).

We did however highlight Leeds at 1.83 to win at home against Northampton (see below) and we married this pick with the 2 bankers of Bury and Liverpool for a nice little 2/1 treble.

Looking at the UK football card for this weekend there is a larger ratio of odds on homes than usual.  However, most of the the odds are close to evens.

This presents opportunities and threats.

True banker odds for UK soccer matches are quotes of 1.40 or less.  Liverpool and Bury at home this weekend fall into that bracket.

I am looking very closely at Leeds to beat Northampton today at around 1.83.

A Leeds, Bury, Liverpool treble will pay 3.04 decimal.

It was an exciting Monday evening as 2 out of 3 draws came in for turf365. The odds were Newcastle 3.50 and Metz 3.0 to draw and we took them both as singles.

Newcastle were 1.90 to win - not a form team at the moment!

This is a 2 from 3 draw strike rate on the night.

I am so excited about our new forecasting tool. The results just keep flying in.

You can have a free month’s forecasts by going to the contacts page.

Wolves’ late goal at Barnsley gave us another small profit for subscribing customers.

When Barnsley went 1-0 up I was pretty sure Wolves would come back and claim the Championship title at McCarthy’s old home ground.

My draw forecasting model has come into its own now and I’m confident that the profits will keep rolling in into the closed season and our world football picks.

As usual, the bet-type used gave us massive insurance.  The odds and bet were guaranteed to give a profit if only one correct.

Like any other serious form of investment, football fixed odds gambling is as much about not losing money as about winning it.

The key elements of forecasting, bet-type and odds need to be brought together in a balanced way to provide consistent yield.

You can have a month’s free selections by going to the contacts page.

This week’s UK football pools card has one void match:

27 Leicester v Scunthorpe

My suggestion is always to take the 2 points on offer.

You can download the UK football pools card below by moving the cursor over the list, right click, then choose Export to Microsoft Excel.

You can have a month’s free selections by going to the contacts page.

What a profitable weekend! We correctly forecast 3 draws to our subscription customers this weekend netting over 600% profit.

At £10 per point the bets brought in £613.60 pure profit. The treble paid 40/1. The matches and decimal odds are:

Carlisle v Swindon @ 3.40, Barnet v Luton @ 3.50 and Inverness CT v Hamilton @ 3.40.  Check the performance page for full details.

I am particularly pleased at the performance of our new draw modelling tool.

As I write this on Saturday morning there are 4 score draws and 3 no-score draws on the card with 5 matches to play. We therefore advised 3 out of 7 available draws.

I have refined the model over the years into a profitable tool but recent developments have added a new dimension.

The aim is to identify score draws so that the draw forecasts can be used as pools picks as well as for customers’ fixed odds bets.

You can have a month’s free selections by going to the contacts page.

This week’s UK football pools card has two void matches:

18 Reading v Sheff Utd

22 Wolves v Southampton

These are a guaranteed 2 points each and this shouldn’t be overlooked in your entry this week.  It’s extremely difficult to catch any type of draw at all, so take advantage of this one.  The extra points could just make the difference for you!

I am working on my forecasting for the weekend matches and will post some draw predictions for you on Friday 10th April.

Boro are in massive trouble - nothing like stating the obvious!  A tasty 2.10 was available on this one and I hope you were on it.

My customers certainly were!

It is looking bad for Boro and they are 2nd FAV to go down at 1.20.  Ony WBA are in a worse position and the bookies have them gone already at 1.01.

Massive 100% run continues at turf365.com

We preserved our 100% record this season by clocking up another two winning bets involving three matches.  My own rating system produced just three matches with >90% confidence from the whole weekend card, so I advised all three as a single and a double.  I’m happy doing this as my process relies just as much on identifying matches to reject as those to bet on.  This is handy, especially when there’s a lot of information coming my way as was the case last week as we headed towards the weekend.  Local contacts communicated to me that that the situation at Burnley wasn’t quite as bad as was being reported.  This turned out to be right as our main pick rattled into the top corner!  Elswhere, Peterborough and Dumbarton obliged in a home win double.

Lucky Goldstar Eleven may be worth following

The good news was that I was offered an Everton ticket at the last minute on Saturday morning and decided to take up the offer as I hadn’t been to Goodison all year.  The bad news was I took the wife, which is extremely unusual for me to do.  She literally yawned from the first whistle to the last - I kid you not - only stopping to comment on Fellaini’s haido.  And Lescott’s.  Never again.

I thought it was an entertaining game that could’ve gone either way.  It kept me going anyway.  Hairdos apart though, I thought that everton were completely ordinary and more than a shade lucky to win this one.

Fulham, though, struck me as being very well organised, with square pegs in square holes, in the main.  Bullard was excellent in the first half, and I can see what Hodgeson is trying to do with him being the playmaker.  Good dead-ball skills too.  Zamora was well out of sorts compared to previous games, but there’s a fair bit of quality in the Lucky Goldstar Eleven.  They really did have their chances, and Gera’s sitter looked bad at the ground but even worse on the telly!  This is a team to follow when there’s a value bet available, I think.

Well, I’m gobsmacked. When I sent this tip out to customers, I admit to having felt a little nervous. The form is there for everyone to see, and the Baggies aren’t exactly firing on all cylinders. Against these indicators is the feeling that it’s just a matter of time before the bubble bursts and we all get a bit of stingy soap in our eyes. But I look for consistency, no matter if it’s in a surprise package or not. I can also feel the vibe from Hull right over here at the other end of the M62. So I took a deep breath and sent out the emails.

Ok, the defending was primary school level. A corner that drops in front of goal, 8 yards out is going to create a little interest. Then two tigers run through the wba defence on a free pass. All topped with a nice knock on by a baggies defender. It’s a long way from the Wigan game at the KC.

I’m glad I steered clear of Man U today. I like odds-on aways, and I always have a good long look at them. I just didn’t like the look of it today. What a goal by Fletch, though.

Turf365 now has 6 out of 6 this season and all I can say is that I’m ahead of where I thought I would be at this stage. I give myself a target of a 90% strike rate. This is combined with having no fear of draws and aways, or indeed, odds. These two elements together give the consistency that customers are looking for. I’ve worked on this principle profitably for years.